According to the provided data, the fertility rate in Pakistan in 2050 is 2.010 per woman.
Based on the reference data, Pakistan's fertility rate is projected to reach a record low of 2.010 in the year 2050. This figure represents a significant change compared to historical levels, such as the all-time high recorded in 1982.
Fertility rate, often measured as the total fertility rate (TFR), represents the average number of children that would be born to a woman over her lifetime if she were to experience the exact current age-specific fertility rates through her lifetime, and might not die before completing her childbearing years. A rate of approximately 2.1 children per woman is generally considered the replacement level in most developed countries, meaning the rate at which a population replaces itself from one generation to the next without migration. A rate of 2.010 is very close to this level.
The data series for Pakistan's fertility rate covers the period from June 1981 to 2050, comprising 70 observations. Over this period, the data averaged 2.715 per woman.
Here is a summary of the key figures from the reference:
| Metric | Value | Year |
|---|---|---|
| Average Rate | 2.715 NA | 1981-2050 |
| All-Time High | 6.960 NA | 1982 |
| Record Low (2050) | 2.010 NA | 2050 |
The substantial decrease from the high of 6.960 in 1982 to the projected low of 2.010 in 2050 highlights a significant demographic shift expected in Pakistan over several decades. Factors influencing such changes typically include:
- Increased access to and use of family planning methods.
- Improvements in education, especially for women.
- Urbanization.
- Changes in socio-economic conditions and cultural norms.
Understanding these trends is crucial for future planning related to population growth, economic development, and resource allocation in Pakistan.
